The week of 6 July is the calm before US earnings season – and it belongs mostly to Japan and the consumer. Fast Retailing, the Uniqlo parent that has become one of the world’s most valuable clothing companies, is the event of the week: it reports Thursday with the shares near record highs after two guidance raises this year, and with the yen at a four-decade low complicating the arithmetic. Delta Air Lines closes the week on Friday as the unofficial opener of the US season, reporting into a setup transformed since April – oil prices have fallen back toward pre-war levels since June’s Middle East peace deal while fares have stayed high, and the question is whether the full-year outlook it shelved during the fuel spike comes back. In between sit three very different consumer stories: Seven & i’s first print of the new fiscal year under its post-Couche-Tard standalone plan, with its US convenience business fading through the quarter; Asahi’s five-months-delayed 2025 results and first 2026 guidance after September’s ransomware attack, a live case study in cyber risk for consumer staples; and Levi Strauss, the cleanest US read on tariffs and the branded-apparel consumer. Penguin Solutions opens the week on Tuesday with a small but timely AI-infrastructure datapoint between the mega-cap prints.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Fast Retailing

~$161B · Thursday 9-Jul · 9983.T

$FRCOY, Uniqlo’s parent Fast Retailing, reports fiscal third-quarter results (the nine months to May) in Tokyo on Thursday – the event of the week, landing with the shares near record highs. The first half was a record: revenue rose about 15% to ¥2.06tn and business profit, the company’s core operating measure, jumped 28% to ¥387bn, driven by Uniqlo International, where revenue grew 22% and profit 37%. North America and Europe both posted double-digit gains, and mainland China – the soft spot of recent years, worked through a store scrap-and-build programme – swung back to double-digit profit growth. On the strength of it, management raised full-year guidance for the second time this year, to ¥690bn of business profit (up about 25%), and lifted the dividend.

The quarter itself looks to have stayed strong – Uniqlo Japan’s same-store sales were up 9–10% in every month of the quarter – so the complications sit at the edges. June’s figure, published last week, fell 14% on unseasonably cool, wet weather; that lands in the fourth quarter, not this one, but it puts a fresh question against the summer season just as the bar has been raised. The yen has slid to about ¥162 to the dollar, its weakest since 1986 – a translation tailwind for the international business but a procurement headwind for Uniqlo Japan’s gross margin – and management said at the last briefing that US tariff costs were being absorbed better than it had expected. Published consensus for the quarter is thin, as is common for Japanese names; the raised guidance itself is the benchmark, implying second-half profit growth of roughly 20%.

Our readWhether the international engine – North America, Europe and a recovering China – kept compounding at first-half rates is the swing factor, because that is what carries the growth case behind a record share price. Watch how management frames June’s weather-driven slump against the freshly raised ¥690bn target, any change to currency assumptions with the yen at a 40-year low, and the tariff commentary for North America. The read-across runs to global apparel – Inditex is growing more slowly and H&M’s overlapping quarter was roughly flat, so Fast Retailing reports from a position of relative strength – and to Japan retail more broadly, where MUJI’s parent Ryohin Keikaku and Aeon report a day later; at these prices, though, even a good quarter has a high bar to clear.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Delta Air Lines

~$61B · Friday 10-Jul

$DAL reports second-quarter results before the open on Friday, the unofficial start of US earnings season and the first big airline of the summer. The setup has changed almost entirely since the company last spoke. In April, with jet fuel spiking toward $4.30 a gallon during the US–Iran conflict, Delta guided the quarter to $1.00–$1.50 of earnings on a 6–8% operating margin, declined to update the full-year outlook it had set in January, and trimmed routes and capacity. Since the mid-June peace deal, oil has fallen back toward pre-war levels while fares have stayed elevated – and demand never really blinked: the TSA expected to screen nearly 18.7 million travellers over the 30 June–6 July holiday period. The shares hit an all-time high last week.

The first quarter showed the mix the bulls like: premium-cabin revenue up 14% and loyalty up 13% – American Express remuneration alone topped $2bn – against main-cabin growth of just 1%, with record corporate sales and the transatlantic up 11%. Consensus for the June quarter is clustered around $1.40–$1.50 of earnings on roughly $17.5–$17.7bn of revenue, the upper end of the April guide – the Street is, in effect, already crediting the fuel windfall – and estimates have been drifting higher since crude fell. One more first: after a spring management reshuffle, this is Erik Snell’s debut earnings call as finance chief.

Our readThe full-year guide is the swing factor – whether Delta re-establishes the outlook it shelved in April, and how it compares with the $6.50–$7.50 it sketched in January before the fuel shock. Watch the fuel-versus-fares arithmetic, since a quarter guided at $4.30 fuel now meets expectations that already assume the windfall; the premium and loyalty engine against a subdued main cabin; and whether the trimmed capacity comes back for the autumn now fuel has eased. The tone sets up the whole airline group – United reports the following week, with American and Southwest later in July – and colours the broader travel trade, though with the stock at a record the market likely needs more than an in-line quarter.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Seven & i

~$29B · Thursday 9-Jul · 3382.T

$SVNDY, the parent of 7-Eleven, reports fiscal first-quarter results (March to May) on Thursday – the first print of the new fiscal year under the standalone plan it adopted after Alimentation Couche-Tard walked away from its roughly $47bn pursuit almost a year ago. The team under chief executive Stephen Dacus has since been executing the alternative it promised: the superstore business has been sold to Bain Capital, the first ¥600bn tranche of a ¥2tn buyback programme was completed in February, and the US business is being reshaped around fresh food – some 645 store closures slated for this fiscal year, a 7,000-store remodel programme, franchise conversions and a round of layoffs. The piece that slipped is the centrepiece: in April the company pushed the planned listing of its North American business from late 2026 to April 2027 at the earliest, citing market volatility and a soft US consumer, and the shares fell on the news.

That US consumer is what this print has to address. The company’s own monthly data show US merchandise sales fading through the quarter – up 1.1% in March, roughly flat in April, down about 1% in May – against a full-year plan that assumes a return to positive same-store growth, with management flagging pressure on lower-income households in particular. Japan looked the steadier leg over the same months. There is no widely published consensus for the quarter; the year-ago quarter’s roughly ¥65bn of operating income is the base, within a full year guided to ¥405bn.

Our readThe US same-store trajectory is the swing factor – the standalone case rests on fixing 7-Eleven’s US business, and the company’s own monthly numbers suggest the quarter got harder as it went. Watch for any firming-up of the IPO timeline, the pace of the remaining ¥1.4tn of buybacks, and early evidence that the food-led remodels are pulling traffic. Rivals hint the weakness is not all macro: Casey’s just posted 5.5% inside same-store growth, and Couche-Tard talks of strong US momentum even while calling the lower-income consumer stretched. The read-across is to convenience retail on both sides of the Pacific and to Japan’s governance-reform trade, where this capital-return programme is one of the flagship exhibits – a weak print revives the question of whether standalone value creation can match what a bidder once offered.

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πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Asahi Group

~$14B · Wednesday 8-Jul · 2502.T

$ASBRY, the brewer behind Super Dry, Peroni and Pilsner Urquell, publishes one of the stranger results of the year on Wednesday: full-year 2025 numbers, originally due in February but delayed five months by the ransomware attack that hit its Japanese systems at the end of September, released together with its first formal guidance for 2026. The attack – claimed by the Qilin group, with personal data of about 1.9 million people exposed or possibly exposed – took down ordering and shipping systems, forced a reversion to phone and fax, and at one point cut beer shipments to a fraction of normal volumes; rivals gained ground, with Kirin reported to have overtaken Asahi at the top of Japan’s retail beer market during the outage, and shipments across the full product range only resumed in April. The shape of the damage is already public: last month the company cut its 2025 forecast by ¥60bn of revenue and ¥30bn of core operating profit against the pre-attack plan, taking expected net profit down to ¥120bn, roughly 28% below the original guide.

With 2025 largely pre-announced, the information on Wednesday is in the 2026 outlook and the recovery path. The company’s monthly updates have started to turn – they point to Japanese beer revenue moving back above year-ago levels in May, helped by a new brand launch – and the overseas businesses held up through the disruption, with Super Dry volumes outside Japan up double digits over the first nine months and Europe defending profit on cost control despite soft volumes. The new guide has plenty to absorb: recovery and security costs, an October cut in Japan’s beer tax, and the newly agreed purchase of Diageo’s East Africa businesses – and management has said its capital-return policy through 2030 is unchanged.

Our readThe FY2026 guide is the swing factor – the 2025 numbers are effectively pre-announced, so the reaction rests on how quickly management thinks it can win back the taps, shelf space and market leadership it held before the attack. Watch the split between one-off cyber costs and underlying trading, the pace of share recovery against Kirin and Sapporo’s windfall gains heading into the October beer-tax change, and whether the buyback and dividend plans emerge intact. Beyond the beer aisle this is one of the clearest recent case studies of what a cyberattack costs a consumer-staples company – Marks & Spencer put a £300m operating-profit price on its own 2025 attack – and with the shares still well below pre-attack levels, the live question is whether the damage is now fully priced.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Levi Strauss

~$10B · Wednesday 8-Jul

$LEVI reports fiscal second-quarter results (quarter ended 31 May) after the close on Wednesday, the cleanest US read of the week on tariffs and the branded-apparel consumer. The first quarter was strong: revenue grew 9% organically to $1.74bn, earnings came in ahead of expectations, direct-to-consumer reached 52% of sales with comparable sales up 7%, and Europe grew double digits – and management nudged full-year guidance up, to 4.5–5.5% organic growth and $1.42–$1.48 of earnings. Since then the tariff maths has moved in its favour: guidance still assumes 30% duties on China and 20% on the rest of the world, but after the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs in February the operative rate has been a flat 10% – worth roughly $35m of cost and about $0.07 of earnings by the company’s own arithmetic if it held all year.

Consensus for the quarter sits at $0.24 on about $1.52bn of revenue – the very top of the company’s own guide – and the shares hit a 52-week high last week, so the market is positioned for a beat-and-raise. The denim cycle is helping: looser fits, women’s (more than half of last quarter’s growth) and tops are carrying, and peers from Gap to Abercrombie describe denim demand as intact. The complications are about timing: the 10% tariff regime is due to expire on 24 July, two weeks after the call and subject to appeals, which argues for keeping assumptions conservative – and Nike’s print last week showed how large a distortion a tariff refund can be. In the background, long-serving finance chief Harmit Singh is retiring once a successor is found.

Our readThe guidance treatment of tariffs is the swing factor – whether Levi’s re-bases from its conservative 30%/20% assumptions toward the live 10% rate, books any duty refund, or holds the line given the late-July expiry. Watch direct-to-consumer momentum against a gross margin that held near 62% last quarter, wholesale, which has been running ahead of plan, and whether Europe’s double-digit run continues. The read-across covers branded apparel and wholesale retail – Gap, American Eagle, Abercrombie and the denim-focused Kontoor – with Levi’s the cleanest test of whether pricing can keep offsetting tariffs without denting demand; at a 52-week high, though, the reaction likely hangs on the guide rather than the quarter.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Penguin Solutions

~$3B · Tuesday 7-Jul

$PENG reports fiscal third-quarter results after the close on Tuesday, the week’s purest AI-infrastructure datapoint in an otherwise quiet stretch for tech. The former SMART Global Holdings designs, builds and runs AI clusters for enterprises, governments and “neocloud” providers, alongside a sizeable memory business, with SK Telecom as a strategic investor. Last quarter’s headline revenue fell 6%, but the mix told the story: memory revenue rose 63% on AI demand while the lumpy, project-based advanced-computing segment fell 42%, with its recovery guided into the second half. In June, management said the year is tracking to the high end of its outlook – roughly 17% revenue growth at the top of the range, against 12% at the midpoint – on what it called “very strong agentic AI-driven customer demand”, and the shares jumped on the update, extending a run that has left them above the average analyst target.

The print comes with a wrinkle: finance chief Nate Olmstead leaves the day after the report – this is expected to be his final call, with a finance VP stepping in on an interim basis – a departure the company says involves no disagreement over the numbers. Analyst coverage is thin for a $3bn company: consensus sits around $0.54–$0.56 of earnings, with revenue estimates spanning roughly $410m to $425m – implying growth accelerating sharply from a first half in which revenue slightly declined, and the full-year guide leans on an even bigger fourth quarter.

Our readThe advanced-computing ramp is the swing factor – the high-end-of-guidance call rests on lumpy AI-cluster projects landing on schedule, and the implied second-half arithmetic is demanding. Watch the memory segment’s growth rate as a read on inference-driven demand, any handover detail around the CFO transition, and whether the agentic-AI demand language survives contact with actual bookings. Between the mega-cap prints this is a timely, if small, read on the AI-capex complex – server and infrastructure names such as Dell, Super Micro and Vertiv – though a company this size with project-based revenue is a noisy proxy, and after the run-up the share reaction could well be larger than the news.

Weekly Calendar

Some notable names reporting this week:

Company Country Sector
Tuesday 7-Jul
Penguin Solutions πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ AI infrastructure / memory
Enerpac Tool Group πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Industrial tools
Kura Sushi USA πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Restaurants
Wednesday 8-Jul
IndustrivΓ€rden πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Investment holding
Asahi Group Holdings πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Beer / beverages
Levi Strauss πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Apparel / denim
PriceSmart πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Warehouse-club retail
Tsuruha Holdings πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Drugstore retail
ABC-Mart πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Footwear retail
Jet2 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Leisure travel / airline
Thursday 9-Jul
Fast Retailing πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Apparel retail (Uniqlo)
Seven & i Holdings πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Convenience retail
Sugi Holdings πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Drugstore retail
WD-40 Company πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Maintenance products / lubricants
Nurix Therapeutics πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Biotech / protein degradation
Friday 10-Jul
Delta Air Lines πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Airline
Aeon πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Retail conglomerate
Ems-Chemie πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Specialty chemicals / polymers
Yaskawa Electric πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Robotics / factory automation
Ryohin Keikaku πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Lifestyle retail (MUJI)
OSG πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Cutting tools